According to CNN, Iraqi U.N. Ambassador Mohammad al-Douri has said that unless sanctions against his country are lifted, “We will not permit … weapons inspectors. We have nothing to inspect.”

It’s safe to assume that the U.S. isn’t going to think much of lifting sanctions, and it’s probably safe to assume that Iraq would still tell the U.S. to go to hell with its inspections even if sanctions were lifted.

So I’d look for a repeat of this sentiment directly from Baghdad, and bombing soon after; assuming that the dance partners face no delays due to Iran or the Saudis (see below).